Oklahoma vs Texas Tech 10/6/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Oklahoma winning 59% of simulations, and Texas Tech 41% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Oklahoma commits fewer turnovers in 29% of simulations and they go on to win 76% when they take care of the ball. Texas Tech wins 53% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Landry Jones is averaging 318 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. Seth Doege is averaging 356 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TEXTCH +7.5

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